Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 105.911175 122.121360 141.355003 166.255580 198.251354 2.388882e+02 295.985063
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 92.557291 115.098840 145.260769 190.390360 259.879683 3.704452e+02 580.158607
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 79.280792 102.625156 135.994220 190.372217 284.449982 4.605965e+02 892.153453
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 69.676866 92.765021 127.365864 187.474380 301.574488 5.476871e+02 1328.852965
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 62.390473 84.865200 119.804592 183.698174 314.853975 6.367208e+02 1983.052854
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 57.377645 79.576740 115.268561 183.783871 335.740036 7.637238e+02 3313.728928
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 53.368562 75.274899 111.553496 184.317587 357.919541 9.207817e+02 6218.019646
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 48.784937 69.508523 104.448163 176.451841 356.450648 9.990976e+02 10033.267516
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 46.924981 67.994128 104.602907 183.647357 398.429269 1.322563e+03 44563.084301
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 43.617434 63.706471 99.117275 177.329815 398.981648 1.455406e+03 183322.104585
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 41.668399 61.562633 97.369842 179.154639 426.267437 1.820045e+03 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 39.504027 58.851178 94.206952 176.990972 439.689472 2.145396e+03 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 38.744977 58.834657 96.869923 191.366106 530.444024 3.857695e+03 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 39.100679 60.925633 104.302792 221.614831 731.951703 1.358261e+04 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 37.067925 58.315476 101.326906 221.574421 789.098626 2.738580e+04 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 35.027343 55.498381 97.508582 217.950036 824.236065 5.820116e+04 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 33.135924 52.810807 93.648421 213.235020 850.005712 1.553328e+05 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 31.722850 50.943283 91.430007 213.341906 914.335590 6.120808e+06 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 30.471800 49.293914 89.514008 214.007690 989.024028 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 28.769099 46.622546 84.906663 204.217245 962.112354 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 28.173849 46.140149 85.474209 213.171645 1133.652570 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 26.804032 43.984103 81.745554 205.307738 1118.958381 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 26.011624 42.965397 80.721117 207.576138 1232.167773 NaN NaN